Wednesday, February 19, 2025

Stock Price Follow-Up Review: Monde Nissin Corporation (MONDE) Morning Chart as of February 19, 2025 – Buy or Sell Decision Using the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy

Contents:

  • Introduction
  • Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review
  • Final Stock Recommendation
  • Next Steps

I. Introduction

This follow-up review examines Monde Nissin Corporation (MONDE) based on the morning session chart as of February 19, 2025.

MONDE recently attempted to break above the 9.13 resistance zone, following a strong close on February 18, 2025, at 8.45 with a volume surge of 10.465M, exceeding its target breakout volume of 10.41M.

This review will determine whether MONDE’s bullish momentum is sustainable and whether a buy opportunity exists using the Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy 3.0.

Updated Trade Details (Morning Session – February 19, 2025)

  • Date: February 19, 2025
  • Stock: Monde Nissin Corporation (MONDE)
  • Exchange: Philippine Stock Exchange (PSE)
  • Timeframe: Morning Chart (End of Morning Session)
  • Opening Price: 8.45
  • High: 8.60
  • Low: 8.28
  • Current Price: 8.52
  • 20-MA (Short-Term Trend): 7.51
  • 200-MA (Long-Term Trend): 9.55

Volume Analysis (Morning Session – February 19, 2025)

  • Morning Volume: 3.825M
  • Closing Volume (February 18, 2025): 10.465M
  • 30-day Volume Average: 9.671M
  • 65-day Volume Average: 7.122M
  • Target Breakout Volume (65-day x 1.5 volume average): 10.41M

With MONDE’s price hovering near the 9.13 key breakout level, this analysis will evaluate whether the stock can sustain its bullish move or if a pullback is expected.

MONDE morning session chart with technical indicators as of February 19, 2025

MONDE Morning Session Stock Charts as of February 19, 2025


II. Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review

Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context

  • Daily Chart:

    • MONDE continues to trade below the 200-day MA (9.55), meaning the long-term trend remains bearish.
    • However, the price is now well above the 20-day MA (7.51), indicating strong short-term bullish momentum.

  • Monthly Chart:

    • The stock is attempting a recovery from the 6.65 low, but it remains below the 20-MA (9.14).

➡ Verdict: Wait (Short-term bullish momentum is strong, but long-term downtrend remains).

Step 2: Price Position & Retracement Zones

  • MONDE is currently at the 57% retracement level, slightly above the power move sweet spot of 8.47 - 9.13.
  • A break above 9.13 with strong volume would confirm a bullish continuation.

➡ Verdict: Watch for Breakout Above 9.13 (Critical Level for Bulls).

Step 3: Power Bars, Breakout Signals & Volume Confirmation

  • MONDE closed with high volume (10.465M) on February 18, 2025, exceeding the 10.41M breakout target, indicating strong buying interest.
  • However, the morning session volume (3.825M) is lower, meaning momentum must be sustained throughout the day.

➡ Verdict: Buy on Further Strength (Monitor closing volume for confirmation).

Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Technical Signals

  • A full confirmation occurs if MONDE closes above 9.13 with strong volume.
  • The key resistance levels:
    • Short-term: 9.13
    • Mid-term: 9.55 (200-MA)

➡ Verdict: Small Entry Possible (Full confirmation needed).

Step 5: Stop-Loss Positioning & Risk Management

  • If entering long, a stop-loss should be placed below 8.00 to protect against downside risk.
  • A drop below 7.50 would signal further weakness.

➡ Verdict: Buy with Risk Management (Stop-loss at 8.00).

Step 6: Color Change Signals for Additional Confirmation

  • Another green candle has formed, reinforcing bullish sentiment.
  • However, confirmation of bullish structure requires a sustained close above 9.13.

➡ Verdict: Wait (Needs a strong close above 9.13).

Step 7: Profit-Taking Strategies with Tactical Exits

  • Profit targets:
    • Short-term: 9.13
    • Mid-term: 9.55 (200-MA)
    • Long-term: 10.50

➡ Verdict: Hold Position, Take Partial Profits at 9.13 and 9.55.

Step 8: Potential Re-Entry Zones

  • Re-enter near 8.15 if support holds.
  • Buy on a confirmed breakout at 9.13.

➡ Verdict: Watch for Re-Entry on Retracement or Breakout.

Step 9: Tactical Position Adjustments

  • Core Position: Initiate if MONDE holds above 9.13 with volume confirmation.
  • Tactical Entry: A small position can be taken near 8.52, increasing size upon confirmation above 9.13.

➡ Verdict: Small Position Possible Near 8.52, Increase Size Above 9.13.

Step 10: Counter-Trend Trading Considerations

  • No counter-trend trade is recommended since MONDE is trading within a breakout structure.

➡ Verdict: Avoid Counter-Trend Trading.

III. Final Stock Recommendation

Final Trade Recommendation: BUY (With Confirmation)

✅ Recommendation: Buy if MONDE holds above 9.13 with strong volume.

✅ Risk Management: Stop-loss at 8.00 to manage downside risk.

✅ Profit-Taking Strategy: Target prices at 9.13 (short-term), 9.55 (mid-term), and 10.50 (long-term).

✅ Position Size Strategy: Start small near 8.52, increase size upon confirmation above 9.13.

IV. Next Steps

🔹 Short-term traders: Monitor if MONDE sustains above 9.13 before taking full positions.

🔹 Long-term investors: Consider small entries near 8.52 with a stop at 8.00, then add if volume strengthens.

🔹 Existing holders: Monitor breakout confirmation above 9.13 before adding positions.

🚨 Final Thought: MONDE continues its breakout attempt. A strong close above 9.13 with volume confirmation is the key signal to watch. 🚨


Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.


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Stock Price Follow-Up Review: Universal Robina Corporation (URC) Morning Session Chart as of February 19, 2025 – Buy or Sell Decision Using the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy

Contents:

  • Introduction
  • Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review
  • Final Stock Recommendation
  • Next Steps

I. Introduction

This is an updated follow-up review based on the morning session chart for Universal Robina Corporation (URC) as of February 19, 2025. We assessed the stock's breakout attempt above 70.20, awaiting confirmation of strength through price and volume.

As of the morning close, URC continued to hold above 70.20, showing further bullish strength. However, volume remains below the breakout threshold, making the validation of this move crucial for an entry decision.

Updated Trade Details (End-of-Morning Session)

  • Date: February 19, 2025
  • Stock: Universal Robina Corporation (URC)
  • Exchange: Philippine Stock Exchange (PSE)
  • Timeframe: Morning Chart (End of Morning Session)
  • Opening Price: 66.90
  • High: 70.80
  • Low: 66.90
  • Current Price: 70.35
  • 20-MA (Short-Term Trend): 63.42
  • 200-MA (Long-Term Trend): 94.23

Volume Analysis (as of February 19, 2025 - End of Morning)

  • Closing Volume: 1.351M
  • 30-day Volume Average: 2.744M
  • 65-day Volume Average: 2.639M
  • Target Breakout Volume (65-day x 1.5 Volume Average): 3.92M

While price action remains bullish, breakout volume is still insufficient to confirm sustained upside momentum. Next, we will re-evaluate its technical setup using our Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy.

URC morning session chart with technical indicators as of February 19, 2025

URC Morning Session Stock Charts as of February 19, 2025


II. Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review

Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context

  • URC is still below the 200-day MA (94.23), indicating a long-term bearish trend.
  • The stock continues to sustain itself above 70.20, suggesting short-term bullish strength after reclaiming the 20-day MA (63.42).
  • The monthly chart shows an attempted reversal, but confirmation is still required.

➡ Verdict: Wait (Trend reversal is in progress but needs further validation).

Step 2: Price Position & Retracement Zones

  • URC has entered the 68.12 - 71.18 sweet spot—a key decision zone for a breakout continuation.
  • Holding above 71.18 with volume confirmation would validate the breakout.

➡ Verdict: Watch for Confirmation (Entry point is valid, but strength must hold).

Step 3: Power Bars, Breakout Signals & Volume Confirmation

  • The morning session confirmed another green candle above 70.20, signaling continued buying interest.
  • However, breakout volume (3.92M) has not been reached—this remains a critical factor.

➡ Verdict: Wait (Breakout needs volume confirmation).

Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Technical Signals

  • URC has breached the 70.20 resistance zone, a bullish sign.
  • A close above 71.18 with at least 3.92M volume is required for full confirmation.

➡ Verdict: Small Entry Possible (Full confirmation needed).

Step 5: Stop-Loss Positioning & Risk Management

  • A stop-loss should be placed below 68.00 in case of a false breakout.
  • A move back below 66.90 would invalidate the bullish thesis.

➡ Verdict: Buy if it holds above 71.18 (Stop-loss at 68.00).

Step 6: Color Change Signals for Additional Confirmation

  • Another strong green candle is forming, indicating continued bullish sentiment.
  • However, confirmation through volume and sustained movement above 71.18 is still required.

➡ Verdict: Wait (Bullish continuation must hold).

Step 7: Profit-Taking Strategies with Tactical Exits

  • Profit targets remain:
    • Short-term: 75.00
    • Mid-term: 80.00
  • Partial exits recommended near 75.00 if the stock sustains momentum.

➡ Verdict: Hold position, set target levels.

Step 8: Potential Re-Entry Zones

  • Pullbacks near 68.00 can be re-entry points if support is confirmed.
  • Re-enter near 71.18 with volume confirmation for a strong breakout play.

➡ Verdict: Monitor re-entry zones near 68.00 or on confirmed break above 71.18.

Step 9: Tactical Position Adjustments

  • Core Position: Can be initiated if URC holds above 71.18 with volume confirmation.
  • Tactical Entry: A small position can be taken near 70.20, increasing size only on confirmation above 71.18.

➡ Verdict: Small entry possible near 70.20, increase size upon confirmation above 71.18.

Step 10: Counter-Trend Trading Considerations

  • Since URC has not shown significant breakdowns, counter-trend trading is not recommended.

➡ Verdict: Not applicable (Breakout setup, not a counter-trend trade).

III. Final Stock Recommendation

Final Trade Recommendation: BUY (With Confirmation)

✅ Recommendation: Buy if URC holds above 71.18 with strong volume (above 3.92M).

✅ Risk Management: Stop-loss at 68.00 to manage downside risk.

✅ Profit-Taking Strategy: Target prices at 75.00 (short-term) and 80.00 (mid-term).

✅ Position Size Strategy: Start with a small position near 70.20, increase size upon confirmation above 71.18.

IV. Next Steps

🔹 Short-term traders: Monitor if URC sustains above 71.18 before taking a full position.

🔹 Long-term investors: Consider small entries near 70.20 with a stop at 68.00, then add if volume strengthens.

🔹 Existing holders: Monitor if the breakout holds; partial profit-taking near 75.00 is recommended.

🚨 Final Thought: URC continues its breakout attempt. A strong close above 71.18 with volume confirmation is the key signal to watch. 🚨


Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.


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Tuesday, February 18, 2025

Stock Price Review: Universal Robina Corporation (URC) Daily Chart as of February 17, 2025 – Buy or Sell Decision Using the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy

Contents:

  • Introduction
  • Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review
  • Final Stock Recommendation
  • Next Steps

I. Introduction

Universal Robina Corporation (URC) is a major player in the Philippine stock market, known for its strong market presence in the food and beverage industry. This review will analyze its price movement using the Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy 3.0 to determine the best trade decision.

Trade Details

  • Date: February 17, 2025
  • Stock: Universal Robina Corporation (URC)
  • Exchange: Philippine Stock Exchange (PSE)
  • Timeframe: Daily
  • Closing Price: 63.95
  • High: 65.90
  • Low: 63.30
  • 20-MA (Short-Term Trend): 63.30
  • 200-MA (Long-Term Trend): 94.49

Pullback Under Consideration

  • Start of Power Move Date: January 14, 2025
  • Start of Power Move (100% Pullback): 75.00
  • End of Power Move Date: February 12, 2025
  • End of Power Move (0% Pullback): 59.70
  • Power Move Trend: Bearish
  • Power Move Sweet Spot: 68.12 - 71.18
  • Market Price To Date: 70.20
  • Pullback Level To Date: 69%

Volume Analysis (as of February 17, 2025)

  • Closing Volume: 2.49M
  • 30-day Volume Average: 2.68M
  • 65-day Volume Average: 2.61M
  • Target Breakout Volume (65-day x 1.5 Volume Average): 3.92M

The following analysis will apply our Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy to determine whether URC presents a buy, sell, or hold opportunity.

URC stock daily chart with technical indicators as of February 17, 2025


URC stock monthly chart with technical indicators as of February 17, 2025

URC Daily and Monthly Stock Charts as of February 17, 2025


II. Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review

Step 1: Identify Market State & Trend Context

  • The daily chart shows a downtrend phase with URC trading well below its 200-day MA (94.49).
  • The price is hovering around the 20-day MA (63.30), signaling a potential short-term consolidation after a steep decline.
  • The monthly chart confirms the long-term downtrend, with the 200-MA (113.94) acting as resistance.

➡ Verdict: Wait (Needs confirmation of trend reversal).

Step 2: Price Position & Retracement Zones

  • The stock is currently below the 200-day MA, indicating a bearish macro trend.
  • The price is approaching the 70% retracement level (69%), making it a high-risk zone for long trades unless a reversal occurs.
  • Ideal bullish entry should be within the 25%-45% pullback range, meaning the stock is still in a danger zone for continued downside.

➡ Verdict: Wait (Not yet in a favorable entry zone).

Step 3: Power Bars, Breakout Signals & Volume Confirmation

  • A green candle with increased volume was seen on February 17, 2025, indicating short-term buying interest.
  • However, breakout volume (3.92M) has not been met, suggesting weak confirmation.

➡ Verdict: Wait (Volume does not yet confirm breakout).

Step 4: Entry Confirmation Based on Technical Signals

  • The price is still below the key resistance zone (68.12 - 71.18).
  • A confirmed reversal pattern (e.g., higher lows or a strong bullish breakout above the sweet spot) is needed before entry.

➡ Verdict: Wait (Needs confirmation of a breakout above 71.18).

Step 5: Stop-Loss Positioning & Risk Management

  • If entering a long position, an initial stop-loss should be set below the recent swing low (59.70).
  • Risk remains high due to lack of volume confirmation.

➡ Verdict: Wait (Risk is still high for new positions).

Step 6: Color Change Signals for Additional Confirmation

  • No clear color change pattern yet to confirm a trend reversal.
  • The stock remains inside a bearish channel with no strong green bar confirmation above key resistance.

➡ Verdict: Wait (Needs clear color change confirmation).

Step 7: Profit-Taking Strategies with Tactical Exits

  • Profit targets should be 75.00 for conservative exits and 80.00 for more aggressive ones.
  • However, since an entry is not confirmed, taking profits is not yet applicable.

➡ Verdict: Not applicable yet (Entry not confirmed).

Step 8: Potential Re-Entry Zones

  • If the stock reclaims 71.18 with strong volume, a re-entry can be considered.
  • Alternatively, a pullback to 60.00 with bullish reversal confirmation could be another re-entry point.

➡ Verdict: Wait (Monitor breakout levels before re-entry).

Step 9: Tactical Position Adjustments

  • Core Position: Not recommended yet due to uncertain trend.
  • Tactical Entry: Possible near 60.00 if a bullish reversal occurs or above 71.18 with strong volume.

➡ Verdict: Wait (No adjustment needed until a clearer trend forms).

Step 10: Counter-Trend Trading Considerations

  • Counter-trend trading is not advisable yet since there hasn’t been a gap-down of more than 5% below the 200-MA or two consecutive large red candles near lows.

➡ Verdict: Avoid Counter-Trend Trading (No clear reversal setup).

III. Final Stock Recommendation

Final Trade Recommendation: HOLD/WAIT

✅ Recommendation: Wait for a breakout above 71.18 before considering a long position.
✅ Risk Management: Stop-loss should be set below 59.70 if entering a trade.
✅ Profit-Taking Strategy: Target prices at 75.00 (conservative) and 80.00 (aggressive).
✅ Position Size Strategy: Start with a small position upon breakout confirmation, then add gradually.

IV. Next Steps

🔹 Short-term traders: Avoid buying until a confirmed breakout above 71.18 occurs.
🔹 Long-term investors: May consider waiting for stabilization near 60.00 before adding positions.
🔹 Existing holders: Should monitor breakout confirmation or further downside risks before adjusting positions.
🚨 Final Thought: This is not the ideal entry point yet. A clearer bullish confirmation is required before taking action. 🚨


Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.


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Stock Price Follow-Up Review: Monde Nissin Corporation (MONDE) Morning Chart as of February 19, 2025 – Buy or Sell Decision Using the Hybrid 10-Step Strategy

Contents: Introduction Hybrid 10-Step Trading Strategy Review Final Stock Recommendation Next Steps I. Introduction This follow-up review e...